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This won’t “all be over soon” and lockdown isn’t the end of the story…

Coronavirus and Covid-19: where we are at so far, and what does the future look like after the (this? First?) lockdown?

Here at Mother Nature’s Diet HQ, I run a members-only monthly subscription club called MND Life!

For my members, I make two webinars every month, and some other content.
These webinars, about all aspects of health and fitness and disease prevention, are normally locked away in our members-only password-protected portal.

Last week, I made a webinar about coronavirus and Covid-19.

It turned out to be a long one, almost two hours, but my MND Life! members tell me it’s one of the best I have ever made.
I have decided to share it here for you, because it’s important stuff.
The core lesson to be learned, is that this lockdown is no holiday; there is no “just sit home, wait it out, and in a few weeks it’ll all blow over and everything will be back to normal” – not so. The reality is that there is now a new infectious disease in our world, that we do not have a vaccine or a cure for, and so it may be months, years, or decades until we have one or the other, and until then, Covid-19 offers a serious health threat to the elderly, the weak, the sick, those with underlying health conditions, lung problems, poor metabolic health and autoimmune conditions.
At some point in time, unless you stay isolated, this virus will enter your body, and how you handle it when that happens, is going to depend on how healthy YOU are, as an individual.
I suggest you watch the webinar to learn more.

I urge you to take time to watch this, because there is some solid guidance in here that may help you later this year or next.

Please feel free to share this with friends and family if you want to, if it helps you.

Coverage includes: 

Recorded on 9th April 2020, this two-hour webinar provides a summary of Covid-19 to the present time.

  • What is it?
  • How does it spread?
  • Who is most susceptible?
  • Myth busting.
  • What steps can you take to protect yourself?
  • After the lockdown, what does our future look like?

Please remember I am not a qualified doctor. The value of my work at Mother Nature’s Diet is taking the overwhelming mass of information and condensing it down into plain simple English for folks. There is a ton of b/s circulating on social media – part of the value of what I do for my MND Life! members is cutting through the crap, doing the research for you, so nail down the basic facts you can trust. The content of this webinar represents my best knowledge to date, but in time as we learn about the virus, everything I say may prove to be wrong.

All intelligent comments and questions welcome.

Watch the webinar for free, in full, right here.

Note: in time, once I am tested for C-19, I will share my test result here for your interest.

Login, or join up, to MND Life! here if you are interested in learnign more about healthy living in every area of your life.
There has never been a more important time to take your healthy seriously.

To your good health!

Karl

Coronavirus, climate change, experts and predictions

In 2006, Dr Larry Brilliant delivered this excellent TED talk, explaining how smallpox was eradicated and predicting that a worldwide pandemic would emerge some day.
If you can spare 25 minutes to watch the whole thing, then please do, because it’s excellent, but if you just want “the gravity of the situation” then start at about 12.5 minutes in.
Dr Larry Brilliant is what we call “an expert” – a qualified medical doctor, he’s worked in medicine and epidemiology for 30 odd years, been all over the world working ‘on the front line’ helping people in disease hotspots, he’s a university professor and has worked for years for the World Health Organisation (WHO).

In 2015, Bill Gates delivered this superb TED talk where he argues that the world is not ready for the next great pandemic; he argues that countries should prepare for it like they prepare for conflict, with rapid-response teams on stand-by, ‘troops’ trained, equipment ready for action.
Bill Gates is no fool. He was the richest person in the world for 18 years, and he is widely respected as the greatest philanthropist alive today; with his wife Melinda he heads the world’s largest charitable foundation, and he spends all his time working on public health initiatives and disease eradication. It’s fair to say he is “an expert”.

In 2017, Michael Osterholm PhD authored a book called Deadliest Enemy: Our War Against Killer Germs. The book details how unprepared we are for a viral pandemic and warns of the dire consequences of an outbreak.
Mr Osterholm is a smart guy, a PhD, epidemiologist and university professor, he’s studied infectious diseases and how they spread for over 35 years. He’s very much “an expert”.
If you are interested in what he has to say about Covid-19, listen to this Joe Rogan Experience podcast, it’s truly insightful.

In October 2019, experts from the Center for Strategic and International Studies ran a modelling exercise to try to understand what might happen if a novel coronavirus pandemic broke out. “For our fictional pandemic, we assembled about 20 experts in global health, the biosciences, national security, emergency response and economics” – they concluded that governments were not prepared, not taking the threat of a killer virus seriously enough.

Also in October 2019, the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, with the World Economic Forum and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, ran a forecasting exercise to model what would happen if a global pandemic coronavirus broke out. They have been modelling such scenarios since 2001.

Above are just a few examples, but there are more, if you look for them, plenty more examples of experts warning us that a novel virus, particularly a coronavirus, could break out, likely starting in South East Asia, and cause extensive devastation, harm and loss of life. Beyond the immediate health impacts and death toll, these experts all warn of extensive economic costs, worldwide losses of trillions, plunging the global economy into recession/depression for a decade or two.

The message from these experts over the last 15 years has been “spend some millions now, in a coordinated global effort, to avoid disaster, death, and losses of trillions in the future”.

Social media is awash with stories sharing these predictions… “Scientists said this would happen…governments should have prepared” and “So and so made a talk about this, such and such wrote a book about that…people should have listened.” Oh, how folks love to blame and point fingers after the event.

The folks who write these books, and deliver these TED talks, and run these non-profit organisations and teach in universities and advise governments…these folks are experts.
They know their subject.
They’ve studied it for years.
They’ve spent a decade in university.
They’ve been working in their chosen field for 20 or 30 years.
Maybe that’s why they’re called “experts”.

Maybe we should listen.

Drawing parallels

As I observe the unfolding crisis, I can’t help but think about global warming, or climate change as it’s called these days.

In 2006, the then UK government commissioned esteemed economics professor Lord Nicholas Stern to produce The Stern Review, which was to become the foundation stone and guiding wisdom for UK policy on addressing greenhouse gas emissions and other measures to combat climate change.
Lord Stern famously suggested urgent action, that the UK (and, by extention, all other developed nations) commit to actions to mitigate climate change which would likely cost our nation around 2% of annual GDP. His suggestions strongly pushed action now (from 2006) costing circa 2% of GDP, in order to avoid total disaster unfolding in the future which would cost our children circa 20% of GDP in their lifetimes, when the damage is done. In layman’s terms, it goes a bit like this… “it’s cheaper for society to raise taxes now to transition to solar panels and electric cars, than to melt the ice caps and expect our grandchildren to build seawalls and storm defences when oceans rise in 2075.”

Since the 1980s, and even before, scientists and experts have been warning governments, the media, and all of us that human actions (burning fossil fuels, cutting down forests, polluting natural environments and depleting fertile top soils) is doing unimaginable harm to the planet, and if we keep doing it then things will end in unmitigated disaster.
In the 1980s they knew.
Governments were warned in 1986.
By the time of the Earth Summit in Rio in 1992, it was already high on the international agenda.
The IPCC issued major reports in 1992, 1996 and 2001, urgently warning governments and citizens the world over that global warming was a massive and growing threat.

And as the years pass, the warnings become more frequent, more urgent, more stark, more hopeless…
In 2009 Copenhagen summit is last chance to save the planet, Lord Stern
In 2016 Will We Miss Our Last Chance to Save the World From Climate Change?
In 2018 Losing Earth: The Decade We Almost Stopped Climate Change – this is a long read but it’s staggering and worth the time while you’re at home on lockdown. Seriously.
In late 2018 ‘We are last generation that can stop climate change’ – UN summit
In 2019 Only 11 Years Left to Prevent Irreversible Damage from Climate Change – United Nations General Assembly
In late 2019 Climate change close to ‘point of no return’, UN secretary general warns
In 2020 There’s no ‘deadline’ to save the world. Everything we do now has to pass the climate test

Frankly, it’s depressing and frightening stuff, but that’s no excuse to bury our heads in the sand and leave it for our children and grandchildren to suffer: that would be intergenerational tyranny, and it’s the wrong thing to do. Don’t be ignorant, we are the generations burning coal and oil, it’s fair that we suffer 2% loss in our economies now, rather than go on enjoying our gas-guzzling cars, cheap flights and imported clothes, forcing our grandchildren to suffer a 20% economic loss in the future. Many of those grandchildren are not even born yet, to burden them with our legacy would be, to quote Ray Anderson of Interface Carpets (in the film The Corporation (2003)), “taxation without representation” and it’s not fair.

The world over, 97% of scientists and experts agree that global warming is real, is caused by humans, and is accelerating fast towards a point of no return.
NASA: Scientific Consensus: Earth’s Climate is Warming
American Meteorological Society on Climate Change
Consensus on consensus: a synthesis of consensus estimates on human-caused global warming
AAAS Reaffirms Statements on Climate Change and Integrity

The message from these experts over the last 20+ years has been “spend some billions now, in a coordinated global effort, to avoid disaster, death, and losses of almost immeasurable trillions in the future”.

The folks who write these reports, reviews, papers and books, and deliver these conferences and speeches, and run these non-profit organisations and teach in universities and advise governments…these folks are experts.
They know their subject.
They’ve studied it for years.
They’ve spent a decade in university.
They’ve been working in their chosen field for 20 or 30 years.
Maybe that’s why they’re called “experts”.

Maybe we should listen.

The experts were right about coronavirus. Perhaps they are right about climate change.

If you think coronavirus is a nightmare, wait until your children see what climate change can do.

It’s time to take this shit seriously.

Stay home, stay safe, stay sane.

To your continuing good health.

Karl